Not a lot to complain about with last week's results; I went 9-7 and picked up two more games on the top guy at CBS Sports (I'm now up five) and suffered no brutal last second back door covers or the like. I was kind of kicking myself a little for picking the Giants, Patriots and Raiders to cover spreads despite all three being bad teams, but I came out ahead and maybe, just maybe, learned something.
This might be the time of the season when good teams have something to play for and bad teams are simply trying to get the season over. Yeah, guys are playing for their jobs, sometimes coaching for their jobs, so no one wants to put a stinker on film, but still, what is a big upset really worth? Is that inspired effort going to be there in the fourth quarter? Also, those bad teams have 14 games on film now, so why they're bad is a mystery to no one. These puzzles have been solved repeatedly and instructions have been provided.
So, that being said, I'm mostly done picking bad teams to cover spreads, even when those spreads are kind of large, like Bills-Patriots and Packers-Saints. Normally spreads like that make me nervous, but it's crunch time now. Also, one gets a very different feeling being let down by a good team failing to cover the spread, and having a bad team that one inexplicably picked performing what should have been an utterly predictable el foldo. Yeah, done with that.
The picks:
Thursday
Chargers -2.5 vs. Broncos
Saturday
Texans +3.5 vs. Chiefs
Ravens -6.5 vs. Steelers
Sunday
Bengals -7.5 vs. Browns
Falcons -8.5 vs. Giants
Panthers +4.5 vs. Cardinals
Bears +6.5 vs. Lions
Colts -3.5 vs. Titans
Rams -3 vs. Jets
Eagles -3.5 vs. Commanders
Vikings -3 vs. Seahawks
Bills -14 vs. Patriots
Raiders -1.5 vs. Jaguars
49ers +1.5 vs. Dolphins
Buccaneers -3.5 vs. Cowboys
Monday
Packers -14.5 vs. Saints
Last week: 9-7
Year to date: 123-97-4
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